June 27, 2017

Our June 2017 survey (the second in a monthly series) confirms a great deal of pessimism about American democracy. Democracy experts see American political behavior in 2017 as firmly outside the norm for consolidated democracies, although they remain divided on whether this threatens democratic stability. On average, experts rate a 10% chance of de...

June 13, 2017

Former FBI Director James Comey delivered highly anticipated testimony before the Senate Intelligence Committee on June 8, detailing the conditions surrounding President Trump’s decision to fire him nearly a month earlier. Among the highlights, Comey stated that Trump asked to privately meet with him in the Oval Office to discuss the investigation...

June 1, 2017

When we ran our inaugural survey of democracy experts in mid-May, perhaps the most shocking result was that they predicted on average an 11% chance of democratic breakdown in the U.S. within four years. Even if this is an over-estimate by a factor of 10, it still implies a significant chance of American democratic decline. Is this a real threat?

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September 23, 2020

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