AUTHORITARIAN WARNING SURVEY

Our June 2017 survey (the second in a monthly series) confirms a great deal of pessimism about American democracy. Democracy experts see American political behavior in 2017 as firmly outside the norm for consolidated democracies, although they remain divided on whether this threatens democratic stability. On average, experts rate a 10% chance of democratic breakdown in the U.S. within the next four years. 89% of respondents believe that democratic quality has declined over th

Former FBI Director James Comey delivered highly anticipated testimony before the Senate Intelligence Committee on June 8, detailing the conditions surrounding President Trump’s decision to fire him nearly a month earlier. Among the highlights, Comey stated that Trump asked to privately meet with him in the Oval Office to discuss the investigation into former National Security Advisor Mike Flynn over inappropriate ties to Russian officials. Others in the room were requested t

When we ran our inaugural survey of democracy experts in mid-May, perhaps the most shocking result was that they predicted on average an 11%